Twenty-one days: the maximum incubation period for Ebola Virus Disease. That means if you have come into contact with the virus but have no symptoms by day twenty two, then you are clear.

Forty two days: the incubation period x 2, and the period it takes for a country to be officially considered clear of the disease. If no new suspected cases are reported for 42 days, the outbreak is over.

Today, Wednesday 13th August 2014, is a big day for me ... it has been twenty-one days since I left Liberia, and for the first time I know beyond a doubt that I am Ebola-free. Not everyone is so lucky. In my first 14 days of incubation in the comfort of my Southampton home, the number of cases in Liberia more than doubled from 249 on 23rd July to 554 on 6th August. Of these cases, 294 people had died. The country is in a state of emergency, schools are closed, roads are blocked, communities are quarantined and attempts to bring the disease under control are being crippled by widespread fear.

So for another 21 days I am going to write a blog post every day to raise awareness of the grim challenge confronting Liberians, and to raise funds to support the Red Cross, who I work with collaboratively in my normal life as a PhD social researcher, and who are at the front line fighting the worst known Ebola outbreak in history.

Monday 18 August 2014

Ethics and experimental treatments

Last week the WHO approved the use of experimental treatments in the Ebola outbreak in West Africa.  There had been mounting pressure about this issue, particularly after three leading Ebola experts called for the WHO to take the lead in agreeing the use of such treatments the week before (http://blog.wellcome.ac.uk/2014/08/06/experimental-medicine-in-a-time-of-ebola/).  The report of the 12-member panel that the WHO convened is now publically available, so let’s break down the dilemma …

What do you mean, experimental?  Before treatments obtain a licence, they go through a lengthy process of experimentation and testing.  Usually they are first tested on tissues in a lab setting – no live creatures involved.  They may then be tested on animals, and usually drugs must be successfully tested on two types of animals before they go forward to clinical trials in humans.  The WHO has expressed a preference for experimental drugs that have shown promising results on primates in the case of Ebola treatments that may be used in this outbreak.

In order to prove their worth, the bottom line for new drugs is that they must be safe and efficacious.  Safe means that they don’t hurt people – a few minor side effects are one thing, but we need to know if a drug might cause an unacceptable level of harm compared to the potential for good.  Efficacious means that they work.  The dilemma in the use of experimental Ebola drugs is that we don’t know, in humans, whether they are safe and efficacious.

Why should they be used?  Taking a drug when we don’t know either whether it will work or what negative effects it might have is a risk.  The question is, is it a risk worth taking?  The WHO has decided that in this instance, such treatments may be used on compassionate grounds (i.e. outside of a clinical trial), because the scale of the outbreak is unprecedented, and health systems in the affected countries are already way beyond their capacity.  At the end of the day, the only way of finding out whether an Ebola treatment is safe and efficacious is during an outbreak – and some of the drugs under development are ready for human testing.

What are the conditions?  Informed consent and understanding of the risks is vital for patients, their families and carers, and medical personnel administering the drugs, along with management of communities’ expectations more widely.  The capacity to care for the patient who is receiving the experimental treatment fully must be there, including monitoring and treating any side effects.  The panel asserted that there is a moral duty to collect scientifically useful information during the use of untested treatments that can be used to understand how safe and effective they are in the interim until clinical trials can be conducted.  Finally, the use of experimental treatments should not distract attention from the public health interventions which are the main means of controlling the outbreak.

Who gets them?  Perhaps the thorniest issue of all – technically, the WHO has agreed to the use of experimental treatments for possible treatment of those that are infected, for people who have been exposed to the disease but have not yet shown any symptoms (post-exposure prophylaxis), or for people who may be exposed (pre-exposure prophylaxis).  In reality, the supply of these drugs is very limited, so decisions need to be made about who gets it and who does not.  The main debate is about whether health care workers should be given priority – the main ethical principles for are reciprocity (after all, they are putting their lives at risk by treating Ebola patients) and social usefulness (we need them to fight the outbreak).  But where does this leave victims of Ebola in communities that have been affected?


It makes you wonder, under what circumstances would you agree to someone putting a drug in your body when no one knows whether it will work or the damage that it might do?  I don’t have the answer for myself, but I do know I would want to be given the choice.

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